Fargo

Drink-y Oscars Nominations! (You know, the Golden Globes.)

UPDATE: It is about 6pm EST on Golden Globes night, and I want to revise some of my predictions based on the campaigning season so far. Edits are incorporated through the rest of the post!

It's the most wonderful time of the year!

By which I mean it's awards season!! This is when the best films of the year come out! And there are swanky awards nominations and everything everywhere! Including the noms for the Golden Globes!

So I'm freaking out over those and making my pics way too early in the season. These will probably change. But also, screw it, I want to do them anyway.

Ordinarily I pick only a few categories for which I really make predictions. But I don't think there's a single category of the Golden Globes that means less to me than any other. So if my analysis is short... I'm trying to do picks for twenty five categories in a single blog post. Give a girl a break!

As always, the category title is in bold, my pick is in italics, and everything else will probably be marked off with some kind of *asterisk.

Best Motion Picture - Drama
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Room
*Spotlight

1/10/16: Whoops, just kidding! I definitely think it's Spotlight now.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
*Cate Blanchett - Carol
*Brie Larson - Room
*Rooney Mara - Carol
*Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
*Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl

God, what an insanely strong category this year. I couldn't possibly pick just one. I'm not even rooting for any one of them over the others from pure, personal, emotional preference. They are all extraordinary, and they all deserve it.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Will Smith - Concussion

Yes, I know I picked two people. But, between the two of them, it was impossible to decide. The performances in both Steve Jobs and The Danish Girl were so extraordinary I couldn't so much as have one pick and then one as my second choice. Which is probably cheating for my count after the awards themselves happen, but I don't care.
I can tell you who isn't going to win. I'm sure he's fantastic, but Leonardo DiCaprio isn't going to win, and he is going to flip his shit.

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
*The Big Short
Joy
*The Martian
Spy
Trainwreck

1/10/16: I'm not saying Trainwreck isn't great, but I definitely am saying The Big Short is gonna win.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck
Maggie Smith - The Lady in the Van
*Lily Tomlin - Grandma

I think Grandma was too small an indie film to have the funds to campaign and win awards season categories. I just wanted to point out Lily Tomlin in this movie because she was wonderful.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Steve Carell - The Big Short
Matt Damon - The Martian
Al Pacino - Danny Collins
Mark Ruffalo - Infinitely Polar Bear

Best Motion Picture - Animated
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

If Inside Out doesn't win, it'll be an upset on the level of The Lego Movie not winning at the Oscars.

Best Motion Picture - Foreign Language
The Brand New Testament
The Club
The Fencer
Mustang
Son of Saul

Number of films I've seen in this category: 0. Amount to which I am certain of my choice anyway: 100%.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Jane Fonda - Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Helen Mirren - Trumbo
*Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs

1/10/16: Ohhh man. I might be reversing Alicia Vikander and Kate Winslet? Because I just haven't seen Steve Jobs campaign for much beyond screenplay and Best Actor, and Alicia Vikander has been everywhere! So I think this is going to Alicia Vikander after all, and it'll really be more of a combo win for both this and The Danish Girl.

I don't think Alicia Vikander is going to necessarily win for Ex Machina, especially not over Kate Winslet in Steve Jobs. I just wanted to draw attention to her because I really want her to get all of the things.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
*Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Michael Shannon - 99 Homes
Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Best Director - Motion Picture
Todd Haynes - Carol
Alejandro G. Inarritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
Emma Donoghue - Room
*Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer - Spotlight
Charles Randolph, Adam McKay - The Big Short
Aaron Sorkin - Steve Jobs
Quentin Tarantino - The Hateful Eight

Steve Jobs may have bombed at the box office, but Aaron Sorkin is amazing and I don't think I could be capable of not picking him for any screenplay category ever.

Best Original Score - Motion Picture
Carter Burwell - Carol
Alexandre Desplat - The Danish Girl
Ennio Morricone - The Hateful Eight
*Daniel Pemberton - Steve Jobs
Ryuichi Sakamoto, Alva Noto - The Revenant

...I'm literally listening to the score from The Danish Girl now, so it's very possible that I'm highly biased.

Best Original Song - Motion Picture
"Love Me Like You Do" - Fifty Shades of Grey
"One Kind of Love" - Love & Mercy
"See You Again" - Fast and Furious 7
"Simple Song #3" - Youth
"Writing's on the Wall" - Spectre

Best Television Series - Drama
Empire
Game of Thrones
Mr. Robot
Narcos
Outlander

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Drama
Caitriona Balfe - Outlander
Viola Davis - How to Get Away with Murder
Eva Green - Penny Dreadful
Taraji P. Henson - Empire
Robin Wright - House of Cards

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Drama
Jon Hamm - Mad Men
Rami Malek - Mr. Robot
Wagner Moura - Narcos
Bob Odenkirk - Better Call Saul
Liev Schreiber - Ray Donovan

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy
Casual
Mozart in the Jungle
Orange is the New Black
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Veep

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy
Rachel Bloom - Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Jamie Lee Curtis - Scream Queens
Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep
*Gina Rodriguez - Jane the Virgin
Lily Tomlin - Grace and Frankie

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy
Aziz Ansari - Master of None
Gael Garcia Bernal - Mozart in the Jungle
Rob Lowe - The Grinder
Patrick Stewart - Blunt Talk
Jeffrey Tambor - Transparent

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
American Crime
American Horror Story: Hotel
*Fargo
Flesh & Bone
Wolf Hall

Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Kirsten Dunst - Fargo
Lady Gaga - American Horror Story: Hotel
Sarah Hay - Flesh & Bone
Felicity Huffman - American Crime
Queen Latifah - Bessie

Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Idris Elba - Luther
Oscar Isaac - Show Me a Hero
David Oyelowo - Nightengale
Mark Rylance - Wolf Hall
*Patrick Wilson - Fargo

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television
Uzo Aduba - Orange is the New Black
Joanne Froggatt - Downton Abbey
Regina King - American Crime
Judith Light - Transparent
Maura Tierney - The Affair

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television
Alan Cumming - The Good Wife
Damien Lewis - Wolf Hall
Ben Mendelsohn - Bloodline
Tobias Menzies - Outlander
Christian Slater - Mr. Robot

Full disclosure: I know very little about this year's limited series television shows. I'm mostly basing this off of what I've seen online and what the Emmys did!

This is a really weird year for the awards because, while there are plenty of excellent films and TV shows out there, there isn't any one absolute standout! Or even a few! Which makes this so much harder.

And, you know, of all of the problems out there in the world, having to think a bit more about who my picks are for the Golden Globes is definitely up there. Probably.

The moral of the story: Yay awards season!!

"I don't deserve this award, but I have arthritis and I don't deserve that either." - Jack Benny

The Drinky Oscars, commonly known as the Golden Globes, are tonight!

Guys, I really love awards shows. I know they can oftentimes be incredibly superficial, and, especially when compared with what people actually see when they go to the movies, they can even be borderline meaningless.

But the glamor! The stars! The movies! The television! The dresses! Guys, I really love awards shows.

And since I'm particularly feeling the awards season this year, I figured I'd put together a list of the Golden Globes nominees, who I think is going to win, and (sometimes) why!

If you guys want to discuss it, I'll be on my Twitter all night (@EmmaLieberman), just aching for somebody to fangirl over it with me!

As a reference, my predicted winner will be in italics, with the category in bold.

Best Motion Picture, Drama
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
The Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory of Everything

You guys know how much I absolutely adore The Theory of Everything, and in my heart it totally wins best picture. But after a 12 year shoot, with a coming-of-age story where, as Jon Stewart said, you can literally watch the main actor come of age, I really can't imagine anything beating Boyhood.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Julianne Moore - Still Alice
Rosamund Pike - Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon - Wild
Felicity Jones - The Theory of Everything
Jennifer Aniston - Cake

I'll fully admit I've only seen two of the films in this category. But even though it's one of the films I haven't seen, I think Reese Witherspoon is going to get it for Wild. So much of the film was just her that I think it's what is going to make her win. Jennifer Aniston is my dark horse for this category, though. All of this despite the fact that I firmly believe that Felicity Jones is not getting nearly enough recognition for The Theory of Everything.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Eddie Redmayne - The Theory of Everything
Steve Carell - Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch - The Imitation Game
David Oyelowo - Selma
Jake Gyllenhaal - Nightcrawler

I genuinely feel bad for everyone else in this category. There were such strong performances all around here! Especially Steve Carell, who was pretty transformed in Foxcatcher... but just not to the same degree as Eddie Redmayne. Not only did he have the same level of performance as the others here, but he also made an incredible physical transformation, so if he doesn't win it is an absolute travesty.

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Into the Woods
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
St. Vincent
Pride

Birdman counts as a musical or comedy? I'm not really sure that it does, but I am considering that it was just stuffed into this category so it could win along with Boyhood.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Julianne Moore - Maps to the Stars
Amy Adams - Big Eyes
Emily Blunt - Into the Woods
Helen Mirren - The Hundred Foot Journey
Quvenzhane Wallis - Annie

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Michael Keaton - Birdman
Bill Murray - St. Vincent
Ralph Fiennes - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Christoph Waltz - Big Eyes
Joaquin Phoenix - Inherent Vice

Best Animated Feature Film

The Lego Movie
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Big Hero 6
The Book of Life
Boxtrolls

Does it ever feel like sometimes the animated category is just a list of all the animated films that came out that year? My pick is easily The Lego Movie since it had such heart as a story. But my dark horse is The Book of Life - it's more multicultural, and... I don't want to say "more" artistic, but artistic in a whole other very interesting way!

Best Foreign Language Film

Ida
Force Majeure
Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem
Tangerines
Leviathan

I don't feel qualified to make a pick here since I haven't seen any of these films, and I haven't seen much discussion or buzz about them.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Jessica Chastain - A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley - The Imitation Game
Patricia Arquette - Boyhood
Meryl Streep - Into the Woods
Emma Stone - Birdman

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Ethan Hawke - Boyhood
Robert Duvall - The Judge
Edward Norton - Birdman
J.K. Simmons - Whiplash
Mark Ruffalo - Foxcatcher

I feel like this is going to be the "make sure Whiplash gets something" category. I think that Edward Norton's performance was fantastic, but I don't know if it was enough to rise over anyone else's here, and they don't want just a couple of films to sweep everything.

Best Director - Motion Picture

Ava DuVernay - Selma
Wes Anderson - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - Birdman
David Fincher - Gone Girl
Richard Linklater - Boyhood

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

Wes Anderson - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Gillian Flynn - Gone Girl
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo - Birdman
Richard Linklater - Boyhood
Graham Moore - The Imitation Game

I thought Gone Girl was a very fun, solid film. But I don't think it was necessarily awards-worthy. I do think that screenplay, however, is where it gets recognized. The story (and, more specifically, the way it was adapted for the screen) was just so clever, surprising, concise, and clear.

Best Original Score - Motion Picture

Alexandre Desplat - The Imitation Game
Johann Johannson - The Theory of Everything
Trent Raznor, Atticus Ross - Gone Girl
Antonio Sanchez - Birdman
Hanz Zimmer - Interstellar

I really enjoyed the Interstellar score, but I'm really not sure it was the best, and we all know that Hanz Zimmer can do better than "mot sure it was the best." When we come around to the Oscars, I think The Theory of Everything is going to get it, absolutely. It's score was so gorgeous that I listened to it several times over after seeing the film, and I had my heart broken by just the music all over again, every time. But the Birdman score was innovative, interesting, it told the story of the film as an interwoven part of the film, it's unlike anything any of us have heard before, and the only reason I think The Theory of Everything beats it for an Oscar is because, for whatever reason, the Birdman  score doesn't qualify for the Oscars; it's not being nominated. Which, in my educated opinion, is dumb.

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

Big Eyes
Selma
Noah
Annie
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part I

Best TV Series - Drama

Downton Abbey
The Affair
Game of Thrones
House of Cards
The Good Wife

Best Actress in a TV Series - Drama

Viola Davis - How to Get Away with Murder
Claire Danes - Homeland
Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife
Robin Wright - House of Cards
Ruth Wilson - The Affair

Best Actor in a TV Series - Drama

Kevin Spacey - House of Cards
Clive Owen - The Knick
James Spader - The Blacklist
Dominic West - The Affair
Liev Schreiber - Ray Donovan

Best TV Series - Musical or Comedy

Orange is the New Black
Girls
Jane the Virgin
Transparent
Silicon Valley

Best Actress in a TV Series - Musical or Comedy

Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep
Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie
Gina Rodriguez - Jane the Virgin
Lena Dunham - Girls
Taylor Schilling - Orange is the New Black

It's time for Edie Falco to be awards-style recognized for Nurse Jackie. The rest of them will have their time. Their shows aren't going anywhere. My dark horse is Julia Louis-Dreyfus, for the same reason as Edie Falco, but... less.

Best Actor in a TV Series - Musical or Comedy

Don Cheadle - House of Lies
William H. Macy - Shameless
Ricky Gervais - Derek
Jeffrey Tambor - Transparent
Louis C.K. - Louis

I feel like this is so Louis C.K.'s year. He's got the talent. He's got the performance. He's got the buzz. I think he's going to the the Golden Globe.

Best TV Movie or Mini-Series

Olive Kitteridge
Fargo
The Missing
True Detective
The Normal Heart

Best Actress in a Mini-Series or TV Movie

Jessica Lange - American Horror Story: Freak Show
Maggie Gyllenhaal - The Honorable Woman
Frances McDormand - Olive Kitteridge
Allison Tolman - Fargo
Frances O'Connor - The Missing

Best Actor in a Mini-Series or TV Movie

Martin Freeman - Fargo
Matthew McConaughey - True Detective
Woody Harrelson - True Detective
Billy Bob Thornton - Fargo
Mark Ruffalo - The Normal Heart

It's a bit of a toss-up between Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson for this one. I picked Matthew McConaughey because I heart just a touch more about his performance. But a lot of it was also in conjunction with Interstellar. So I'm really not sure! But regardless, I'm pretty sure that True Detective will win here.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Mini-Series, or TV Movie

Kathy Bates - American Horror Story: Freak Show
Uzo Aduba - Orange is the New Black
Joanne Froggatt - Downton Abbey
Michelle Monaghan - True Detective
Allison Janney - Mom

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Mini-Series, or TV Movie

Bill Murray - Olive Kitteridge
Jon Voight - Ray Donovan
Matt Bomer - The Normal Heart
Alan Cumming - The Good Wife
Colin Hanks - Fargo

Not making a pick here either. I just don't know enough - a girl can only see so many things in a year!

If any of you have comments/agree or disagree with anything here, though, please do let me know! Awards season discussion is, after all, one of my favorite not-so-guilty pleasures.

EEE Golden Globes!